A recent report from Malawi’s National Intelligence Service suggests that President Lazarus Chakwera could receive only 17% of the total votes in the 2025 presidential elections. The projection highlights a significant decline in public support since his 2020 victory, which was hailed as a turning point for democratic governance in Malawi.

The report attributes Chakwera’s dwindling popularity to mounting public dissatisfaction with his administration’s handling of economic challenges, corruption scandals, and unmet campaign promises. Critics argue that the Tonse Alliance government has failed to deliver on its ambitious reforms, further alienating voters.

Political analysts believe this forecast could galvanize opposition parties and candidates to intensify their campaigns, particularly as economic hardships and governance issues dominate the political landscape. The prediction also raises questions about the strength of Chakwera’s Tonse Alliance coalition, which has shown signs of internal fractures.

While the projection is based on current political dynamics, Chakwera’s camp is reportedly working to regain public trust and rebuild support. As the 2025 elections approach, the political terrain remains fluid, and efforts to address pressing national issues may influence voter sentiment.

Observers emphasize that these projections are preliminary, and the true electoral outcome will ultimately depend on the evolving political and economic landscape in Malawi.